A new book has come out which casts into serious doubt some of the models which have influenced policy-makers so far. This further convinces me that it is time to lay a serious philosophy of science foundation for modelling; especially the semantics of models, which have not yet received due attention (interpretation is more of an ad hoc art than a science).
Noted coastal geologist Orrin Pilkey and environmental scientist Linda Pilkey-Jarvis show that the quantitative mathematical models policy makers and government administrators use to form environmental policies are seriously flawed. Based on unrealistic and sometimes false assumptions, these models often yield answers that support unwise policies.
There is also an interesting comment on Overcoming Bias, one of my favourite blogs.
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